El Niño reaches strongest level ever:
El Niño reaches strongest level ever:
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) recently announced that the 2023-24 El Niño has reached its peak, making it one of the five strongest events in history. Even though El Niño continues to wane, it will continue to affect the world's climate in the coming months. The UN also expects temperatures to rise in almost all regions from March to May.
Unprecedented temperatures and abnormal weather:
The El Niño phenomenon has caused extreme temperatures and extreme temperatures around the world, and 2023 will be the hottest year in history. According to the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service, the world's average temperature in January exceeded the annual threshold of 1.5 degrees for the first time. However, it should not be forgotten that the 1.5 degree Celsius temperature increase specified in the Paris Agreement means that the climate will continue to warm for many years.
El Niño expectation and La Niñaa probability
In a recent update, the World Meteorological Organization said that El Niño will be around 60% from April to March to May. The average incidence rate (not El Niño or La Niña) through June is 80%. There is also a possibility that La Niña will occur later this year, but it is still unclear what will happen at the moment. Observers who follow the developments in India closely say that if La Nina conditions occur between June and August, rainfall may improve compared to 2023.
Characteristics and regional effects of El Niño:
El Niño causes warm weather in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean, occurring on average about every two to seven years and generally lasting nine to twelve months. It is possible. . This is linked to increased precipitation in the Horn of Africa and the southern United States, as well as drier, warmer weather in Southeast Asia, Australia, and Southern Africa.
Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Rising Temperatures:
WMO Secretary-General Celeste Soro said that although the El Niño phenomenon causes temperatures to increase, the importance of temperatures, which are the mixture of greenhouse gases, continues. . He also expressed concern about the steady rise in sea levels around the world over the past 10 months; This situation is not caused solely by El Niño.
The importance of early warning and planning:
The World Meteorological Organization emphasizes that summer forecasts are more accurate during El Niño and La Niña, especially in tropical regions. This highlights the important role of early warning in supporting decision-making and improving planning and forecasting. WMO Secretary-General Solow explained how the WMO community's seasonal forecasts could help countries mitigate the decline in climate-related issues such as agriculture, water and sanitation, and could save many people.
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